How reliable is the displayed signal?

Checking completeness, recency and usable history…

Market Quality measures data completeness and signal reliability. It is not outcome confidence and does not predict whether YES or NO will win.

What does the visible order book look like?

Execution Quality describes the currently displayed order book. It does not include every fee or trading friction and is not a fill, liquidity, profitability or best-execution guarantee.

Were unusually large trades observed?

Large Trade Activity is a size anomaly signal from a recent public sample. It does not identify a trader or imply insider knowledge, manipulation, profitability, causation or future direction.

How do equivalent contracts look across venues?

PrediBeacon does not label a best venue until fees, settlement differences, slippage and other trading frictions are validated. This panel compares observable conditions only.

Is the same contract available elsewhere?

What deserves your attention

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Probability history

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Market timeline

Related markets

Related does not mean equivalent. PrediBeacon labels equivalence separately.